➕ Expected Value (EV) Calculator

Is a bet actually worth it? Enter your true win probability, the odds, and your stake. Positive EV = a bet that makes money long-run; negative = it bleeds you, no matter how it feels.

Your win probability%

Odds (American)

Stake$

The whole game in one number

Long-run, you win exactly your EV per bet — nothing else matters. The hard part is knowing your real win probability. That's what a calibrated model gives you: free picks → · Pro edge board →